Good evening sf.citi members,
Thank you to those who joined our call on Friday to discuss upcoming taxes, polling, and general information about the November 2019 ballot. For those of you who were unable to join, we have provided a brief update on polling outcomes.
Findings from a recent survey of San Francisco voters – EMC Research
Key findings from a poll administered by EMC Research among 878 likely March 2020 voters included compelling data on Supervisor Mar’s Stock Option Compensation (IPO) Tax, as well as Supervisors Ronen and Haney’s Disproportionate Executive Pay (CEO) Tax. As many of you are already aware, Supervisors Ronen and Haney decided to delay the CEO Tax and will not place it on the upcoming November 2019 ballot. According to the Chronicle, “The delay will also give the supervisors and the administration a chance to answer the related question of how much the program will cost and how the city will pay for it”.
Data from the EMC-conducted poll nonetheless highlighted the likelihood of both the IPO and CEO Tax measures receiving 2/3 of the vote – the total needed to pass in San Francisco. Polling likely voters for the March 2020 election, EMC research found that Supervisor Mar’s IPO Tax would not meet the minimum threshold for passage. When tested with both positive and negative messaging, the IPO Tax received just 60% approval. Supervisor Ronen and Haney’s CEO Tax, meanwhile, polls at 56% approval after testing with positive and negative messaging.
EMC data reveals that the IPO Tax would have even more difficulty passing with the necessary 2/3 vote in the November 2019 election. After positive and negative messaging, Supervisor Mar’s tax polls at 58% approval.
While Jen is out on vacation, feel free to reach out to me with any questions. Thank you for your continued membership and support.
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